Energy Agenda Post-2015
What’s new? Updated status from the International Energy Agency, goal and targets from the Post 2015 High Level Persons report, and a Global Tracking Framework and progress report from Sustainable Energy for All—that’s what! The International Energy Agency has released Energy Outlook 2013 and has good info in Modern Energy for All.
In the absence of further action, WEO-2013 projects that nearly one billion people will be without electricity and 2.5 billion people will still be without clean cooking facilities in 2030. Analysis from WEO-2012 finds that nearly $1 trillion in cumulative investment – around $49 billion per year – is needed to achieve universal energy access by 2030. This is more than five-times the level of investment observed in 2009. Concerns that achieving modern energy access for all would unduly magnify the challenges of energy security or climate change are unfounded, as it would increase global energy demand and CO2 emissions by no more than 1% in 2030.
Those without electricity are estimated at 1.3 billion with 615 million in Asia and 600 million in Sub-Saharan Africa. Those without clean cooking facilities are estimated at 2.6 billion. More detailed info from WEO-2013 can be found at:
WEO-2013 Electricity access database
WEO-2013 Traditional biomass use database
Goals and Targets
The High Level Panel on the Post-2015 Development Agenda http://www.post2015hlp.org/the-report/ includes an illustrative list of 12 goals and 55 targets. The goal for Secure Sustainable Energy includes four targets:
Sustainable Energy for All
A Global Tracking Framework enables us to follow progress in achieving Sustainable energy for All.
For three targets, universal access to modern energy services, doubling global rate of energy efficiency, and doubling the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix, historic levels (1990), starting point (2010), and the objective for 2030 are:
% Population with % Population with Rate of Efficiency % Renewable
Energy Access Clean Fuels Improvement Energy
Historic level (1990) 76 47 -- 16.6
Starting point (2010) 83 59 -1.3 18.0
Objective for 2030 100 100 -2.6 36.0
Projected resource requirements are “at least USD 600 billion per year until 2030, compared with the level currently expected. But the costs are not spread evenly, with universal access to modern cooking needing an additional USD 4.4 billion per year and electricity access needing USD 45 billion per year, while renewables need an additional USD 174 billion per year and energy efficiency USD 394 billion per year. This investment must be accompanied by a comprehensive package of policy measures, including fiscal, financial and economic incentives, phasing out fossil-fuel subsidies, and pricing of carbon.”
For those who followed SEO-2012, they may remember the need for $34 billion each year until 2035 in order to achieve electricity access for all. The new time frame emphasizes investment through 2030.
Power Africa Initiative
http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2013/06/30/fact-sheet-power-africa
The initiative is cited as an example of commitments to meet energy resource needs. The US government commits $7 billion over 5 years. The above link lists 8 federal agencies and 7 corporations which have made commitments to help provide energy in Africa.
In the absence of further action, WEO-2013 projects that nearly one billion people will be without electricity and 2.5 billion people will still be without clean cooking facilities in 2030. Analysis from WEO-2012 finds that nearly $1 trillion in cumulative investment – around $49 billion per year – is needed to achieve universal energy access by 2030. This is more than five-times the level of investment observed in 2009. Concerns that achieving modern energy access for all would unduly magnify the challenges of energy security or climate change are unfounded, as it would increase global energy demand and CO2 emissions by no more than 1% in 2030.
Those without electricity are estimated at 1.3 billion with 615 million in Asia and 600 million in Sub-Saharan Africa. Those without clean cooking facilities are estimated at 2.6 billion. More detailed info from WEO-2013 can be found at:
WEO-2013 Electricity access database
WEO-2013 Traditional biomass use database
Goals and Targets
The High Level Panel on the Post-2015 Development Agenda http://www.post2015hlp.org/the-report/ includes an illustrative list of 12 goals and 55 targets. The goal for Secure Sustainable Energy includes four targets:
- Double the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix;
- Ensure universal access to modern energy services;
- Double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency in buildings, industry, agriculture and transport; and
- Phase out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies that encourage wasteful consumption.
Sustainable Energy for All
A Global Tracking Framework enables us to follow progress in achieving Sustainable energy for All.
For three targets, universal access to modern energy services, doubling global rate of energy efficiency, and doubling the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix, historic levels (1990), starting point (2010), and the objective for 2030 are:
% Population with % Population with Rate of Efficiency % Renewable
Energy Access Clean Fuels Improvement Energy
Historic level (1990) 76 47 -- 16.6
Starting point (2010) 83 59 -1.3 18.0
Objective for 2030 100 100 -2.6 36.0
Projected resource requirements are “at least USD 600 billion per year until 2030, compared with the level currently expected. But the costs are not spread evenly, with universal access to modern cooking needing an additional USD 4.4 billion per year and electricity access needing USD 45 billion per year, while renewables need an additional USD 174 billion per year and energy efficiency USD 394 billion per year. This investment must be accompanied by a comprehensive package of policy measures, including fiscal, financial and economic incentives, phasing out fossil-fuel subsidies, and pricing of carbon.”
For those who followed SEO-2012, they may remember the need for $34 billion each year until 2035 in order to achieve electricity access for all. The new time frame emphasizes investment through 2030.
Power Africa Initiative
http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2013/06/30/fact-sheet-power-africa
The initiative is cited as an example of commitments to meet energy resource needs. The US government commits $7 billion over 5 years. The above link lists 8 federal agencies and 7 corporations which have made commitments to help provide energy in Africa.